Oscar Futures
Keeping pace with Hollywoods perpetual awards horserace.
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The awards circus takes a two-week break around the holidays,* returning on January 5 forthe Golden Globes.
That makes the week before Christmas the perfect time to zoom out and take stock of the wider race.
The BrutalistHow much wereOppenheimers Oscar fortunes boosted by itsblockbuster box office?
This yearsthree-hour epicis actually performing slightly better than its predecessor through tastemaker season, but thats fools gold.
Whether Oscar voters consider the concrete is yet to be determined.
A sentimental man might recall that the movie to pull it off was another musical: 2002sChicago.
(Or, in this case, several.)
But theres always the Adapted Screenplay race for the film to hang its zucchettoon.
Also in the Mix
A Complete UnknownHow does it feel?
A Real PainCanKieran Culkinpower this little dramedy to a Best Picture berth?
On the bright side, a heart-forward film likeSing Singshould never be counted out.
Even the films biggest booster,THRs Scott Feinberg, has droppedSeptember 5from No.
1 onhis predictionsall the way down to No.
Dont allow that to distract from the body-horror smashs amassing a track record befitting a legitimate contender.
And with an ever-evolving Academy, it still may be.
*Gold Rush and Oscar Futures are also taking a break for the holidays.
The next edition of this column will arrive January 3.
Make a building, or make a movie but if youre thinking small, go home, saysJocelyn Noveck.
Then it won the Golden Lion.
.Current Predix
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Corbet is essentially a European director in the body of an American.
For this branch, thats the best of both worlds.
This is what happens when you graduate from avatar of indie authenticity to an Oscar front-runner.
Who said the 90s were dead?
Brody brilliantly captures the irreconcilable wars going on inside his head and his heart.
Up Timothee Chalamet,A Complete Unknown
Is Chalamet secretly Brodys biggest competition?
(Timmy is brilliant here and completely believable, better than the film itself, saysCaryn James.)
There would be fitting symmetry in Chalamet becoming the youngest-ever Best Actor winner by beating the current record holder.
Still, touches of wryness and impatience save Swintons performance from being too reliant on radiant serenity.
Its a magnificent performance, saysJustin Chang.
Even in the characters most transparently manipulative moments, Pearce endows him with a seductive conviviality.
The films toxic bromance should ensure that Brody and Pearce feel like a package deal.
Not bad for a guy I always used to mix up with Callum Turner and George MacKay.
But a miss at the Critics Choice nominations could be a sign this bid is built on shaky ground.
Will the guilds normies follow the rules and remember that Qualley and Demi Moore are one?
